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How Did Fiscal Rules Hold Up in the Commodity Price Crash?

Report
21 June 2018
Author
David MihalyiLiliana Fernández
Download
Fiscal Rules Commodity Crash (PDF 1.21 MB)
Fiscal Rules Commodity Crash Summary (PDF 204.25 KB)
Topics
Commodity pricesRevenue management
Countries
AzerbaijanBoliviaBotswanaBrazilBurkina FasoCameroonChileColombiaDem. Rep. of CongoEcuadorEquatorial GuineaGabonGhanaIndiaKyrgyz RepublicLiberiaMalaysiaMexicoMongoliaNigerNorwayPapua New GuineaPhilippinesDem. Rep. of CongoRussiaTanzaniaUgandaUnited StatesVenezuela
Stakeholders
Civil society actorsGovernment officialsJournalists and mediaParliaments and political partiesPrivate sector
Precepts
P1 P2 P7 P8 P9 What are Natural Resource Charter precepts?
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Fiscal rules—permanent quantitative constraints on government finances—are an important tool to help mitigate the macroeconomic challenges associated with managing natural resource revenues. Partly inspired by successes in managing resource revenues in countries such as Chile, Peru and Norway (countries that have established fiscal rules and have abided by these budgetary constraints for over a decade), more countries have been adopting such rules.
 
The authors of this paper reviewed the use of fiscal rules across countries assessed in the Resource Governance Index (RGI). For each of the 34 RGI countries with fiscal rules, they reviewed the evidence on the rule’s characteristics, the compliance with the rule, and oversight of this compliance. They analyzed levels of compliance in 2015 and 2016, the years directly following the commodity price crash. The research provides new insight into how these fiscal rules performed during serious economic shocks.
 
The analysis sheds light on large gaps in compliance and oversight of fiscal rules, and the paper provides policy recommendations on how fiscal rules can be further strengthened.

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Helping people to realize the benefits of their countries’ endowments of oil, gas and minerals.
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  • Topics
    Beneficial ownership
    Civic space
    Commodity prices
    Contract transparency and monitoring
    Coronavirus
    Corruption
    Economic diversification
    Energy transition
    Gender
    Global initiatives
    Legislation and regulation
    Licensing and negotiation
    Mandatory payment disclosure
    Measurement of environmental and social impacts
    Measurement of governance
    Open data
    Revenue management
    Revenue sharing
    Sovereign wealth funds
    State-owned enterprises
    Subnational governance
    Tax policy and revenue collection
  • Approach
    • Stakeholders
    • Natural Resource Charter
    • Regional knowledge hubs
  • Priority
    Countries
    • Colombia
    • Dem. Rep. of Congo
    • Ghana
    • Guinea
    • Mexico
    • Mongolia
    • Nigeria
    • Peru
    • Senegal
    • Tanzania
    • Tunisia
    • Uganda
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